Guardians

15%

chance to reach October

59-63

L1 · -30 run diff

What it takes

In the hunt · elimination number 40

Elimination number 404 GB

Every scenario · 2 in play

Win the division

4 games behind White Sox — must run them down to take the Central.

Grab a wild card

1.5 games behind Tigers for the final wild-card spot — elimination number 40.

Updated 8/14, 1:26 AM · odds are a simulated estimate, may be wrong