What you need · live
Avoid defeat against Algeria and you’re through
Next: Algeria · 10:00 PM EDT
Every scenario · last game vs Algeria
✓
Win
Beat Algeria → guaranteed into the Round of 32.
✓
Draw
Draw with Algeria → guaranteed into the Round of 32.
~
Lose
Lose to Algeria → out of the top two, but alive for a best-third place.
Recomputed the moment any group game finishes — settled results drop off the list.
Where they can still finish
1st
Advance
2nd
Advance
3rd
Best-third
4th
Out
Lit cells are positions still mathematically reachable from every remaining group result.
Updated 6/27, 7:42 PM · simulated estimate, may be wrong